基于模糊重心理论的石化企业火灾风险评估  

Fire risk evaluation method in petrochemical enterprises based on fuzzy gravity center theory

作　　者：周靖轩 朱玉军[1] 

机构地区：[1]天津市消防总队,天津300090

出　　处：《消防科学与技术》2015年第3期399-401,共3页Fire Science and Technology

摘　　要：在分析我国石化行业企业生产特点和火灾风险特点的基础上,基于模糊区间、模糊重心和层次分析理论,针对石油化工企业和工业园区构建模糊重心评价方法体系,对具体案例进行评价和试算。案例分析结果表明,该方法体系适合石化工业企业园区的火灾/爆炸风险评价。在评价体系和评价结果的基础上,对石化企业和工业园区的消防安全管理提出建议。Based on detail analysis of the petrochemical enterpri- ses production and fire risk characteristics in China, and the theories of fuzzy interval, fuzzy gravity center and analytic hier- archy process, developed a new fire risk evaluation method. The method was used to evaluate and calculate a actual case. The results of case study showed this method was suitable for evaluating the fire and explosion risk of petrochemical industrial enterprises and parks. Based on the evaluation system and re- sults, suggestions on industrial park fire safety mandgement were given.

关 键 词：石油化工企业 火灾风险评估 模糊重心评价 消防安全管理 

分 类 号：X913.4[环境科学与工程—安全科学] TU998.1[建筑科学—市政工程]