晚清铁路建设与市场发展  

Railways and Domestic Market Development in the Late Qing Dynasty

作　　者：颜色[1] 徐萌[2] 

机构地区：[1]北京大学光华管理学院 [2]美国加州大学洛杉矶分校经济系

出　　处：《经济学（季刊）》2015年第1期779-800,共22页China Economic Quarterly

基　　金：国家社科青年基金(09CJL009);教育部人文社科研究青年基金(09YJC790012);北大光华-金光西部发展研究基金的资助

摘　　要：1881—1911年中国兴起了铁路建设的浪潮。我们从史料中整理了这一时期的小麦价格,将府间价格差对铁路建设进行回归,发现铁路造成铁路连接的府的价格离散程度下降了3.8%,占当时整个价格离散程度下降的约40%,控制铁路建设的内生性以后结果依然显著。我们还发现,铁路提高了沿线府间与邻近铁路府间的市场整合程度。与此同时,铁路削弱了与其平行的传统商路沿线府间的市场整合程度,却提高了铁路与传统商路联运网络中府间的市场整合程度。The period between 1881 and 1911 witnessed the first boom of railway construction in China. Using a unique wheat price dataset, we regress price differences for prefecture-pairs on railway construction and find that railways caused a 3.8% drop of price dispersion in prefectures connected by railways. The results remain significant after we control the endogeneity problem. We also find that railways also promoted market integration of the prefectures close to railways. Furthermore, our results show that railways caused decline of the markets along traditional trade routes but promoted new transportation network that connected railways with traditional trade routes.

关 键 词：铁路 粮价 晚清 

分 类 号：K252[历史地理—历史学] F532.9[历史地理—中国史] F329[经济管理—产业经济]