基于航运成本的北极东北航道集装箱运输潜力研究  

POTENTIAL FOR CONTAINER TRANSPORT THROUGH THE ARCTIC NORTHERN SEA ROUTE

作　　者：寿建敏[1] 冯远[1] 

机构地区：[1]上海海事大学,上海201306

出　　处：《极地研究》2015年第1期65-73,共9页Chinese Journal of Polar Research

基　　金：上海市浦江人才计划(08-PJC-037);海洋公益性行业科研专项(201205007-6)资助

摘　　要：根据北极东北航道航运环境,对北极航行船舶进行了技术和经济分析,并在分析中欧货物贸易量和集装箱运输量的基础上,对北极东北航道集装箱航运网络的构建进行了研究,设立北极东北航道航运技术和经济分析方案,建立了航运技术经济成本分析模型,并对不同规模船型通过北极东北航道的集装箱运输成本进行了比较分析。在北极航道以卑尔根港为轴幅式枢纽港的集装箱运输成本分析基础上,提出了建设新的欧洲轴幅式枢纽港有利于提高北极航道竞争力的推论。论文的结论表明,在目前北极航道航行环境下,航行时间节约不多,航次成本节约在10%左右,燃油成本节约较大,达35%左右。This study analyzed the technical requirements and potential economy of ships navigating the northern sea route through the Arctic. The development of a container-shipping network through the Northeast Passage was considered based on an analysis of container trade volume between China and Europe. The scheme for analyzing the economics of the technical requirements necessary for shipping to use the Northeast Passage in the Arctic was established,and the model for the analysis of shipping costs constructed. The cost of container transportation via the Northeast Passage was compared with the Suez Canal by varying the size of the container ships. Based on the assumption that Bergen in Norway would act as a hub-spoke harbor,it was concluded that the construction of such a facility in Europe would increase the comparative power of the Arctic passage. It was concluded that under current navigational environments,voyage time through the Arctic passage would not be reduced much in comparison with the passage through the Suez Canal,but voyage costs would be reduced by 10% and fuel consumption reduced by about 35%.

关 键 词：北极航道 集装箱运输 枢纽港 中欧航线 航运成本 

分 类 号：U695.22[交通运输工程—港口、海岸及近海工程] F551[交通运输工程—船舶与海洋工程]