上海市物流发展与经济增长的关联分析  

The Comparative Study on the Logistics Development and Economic Growth in Shanghai

作　　者：徐辉[1] 侯建明[1] 

机构地区：[1]上海理工大学管理学院,上海200093

出　　处：《物流工程与管理》2015年第2期14-15,共2页Logistics Engineering and Management

摘　　要：物流发展是衡量一国或地区现代化程度的重要标志之一,同时物流发展和经济增长的联动效应存在很明显的区域差异。文中以上海地区为例,通过构建物流发展和经济增长的VAR模型,并对模型进行格兰杰因果检验和脉冲响应分析。模型认为上海地区的经济增长促进了物流发展,且该促进作用存在时滞,但物流发展并未对经济增长有明显作用。最后根据结论提出相应的对策建议。The logistics development is one of the important marks to judge the modernization level of a country or region. At the same time, the linkage effect of the logistics development and economic growth has obvious regional differences. VAR model of the logistics development and economic growth is established in Shanghai. The model is analyzed through Granger Causality Test and impulse-response function. Some conclusions are achieved. Economic growth of Shanghai promotes the logistics development, and this promoting effect is lagged. Meanwhile, the logistics development has not obvious effect on the economic growth. Finally, the corresponding suggestions are put forward according to the above conclusions.

关 键 词：物流发展 经济增长 VAR模型 

分 类 号：F570[经济管理—产业经济]