2012年四川省试点城市艾滋病相关高危人群规模估计结果  

Estimation on Scale of HIV/AIDS High Risk Population in Pilot Cities of Sichuan in 2012

作　　者：梁莉[1] 周硕[2] 范双凤[3] 岳潇[4] 张静瑜[5] 刘莉[1] 裴晓迪[1] 

机构地区：[1]四川省疾病预防控制中心,成都610041 [2]绵阳市疾病预防控制中心 [3]成都市疾病预防控制中心 [4]雅安市疾病预防控制中心 [5]四川大学华西公共卫生学院

出　　处：《预防医学情报杂志》2015年第3期197-200,共4页Journal of Preventive Medicine Information

摘　　要：目的估计四川省试点城市艾滋病高危人群规模,为科学评价四川省艾滋病疾病负担,确定防治经费的投入及资源的有效分配提供科学依据。方法按照既往艾滋病疫情水平的高、中、低3档,选择四川省有代表性的成都市、绵阳市、雅安市3个市进行高危人群规模估计,暗娼人群（FSW）估计方法采用普查法,男男性行为（MSM）人群规模估计采用捕获再捕获的方法 ,吸毒人群（DUS）的规模估计采用乘数法。结果成都市FSW人数均值为7 372,占15~59岁年龄段女性人口数比例为0.18%,DUS均值为10 121,占成都市常住20~60岁年龄别人口数比例为0.134%,注射吸毒占相应人口比例为0.06%,MSM均值为278 02,占成都市20~60岁年龄段男性人口数的比例为0.74%;绵阳市FSW均值为3 638,占15~59岁年龄段女性人口数比例为0.23%,DUS均值为4 725,占当地15~59岁人口比例为0.15%。注射吸毒人群占相应人口比例为0.06%,MSM均值为10 182人,占绵阳市15~74岁常驻男性人口数的0.53%;雅安市FSW人数均值为800,占15~50岁年龄段女性人口数比例0.19%,DUS均值为4 725,占当地15~59岁人口比例为0.15%。注射吸毒人群占相应人口比例为0.06%,MSM均值为1 444,占当地16~41岁年龄段男性人口比例为0.37%。结论基本掌握3个城市艾滋病高危人群规模数据。Objective To estimate the scale of HIV/AIDS high risk populations, and thus to provide the scientific basis for assessing the disease burden and reasonable allocation of prevention funds and resources. Methods According to the high, medium and low levels of HIV prevalence, Chengdu, Mianyang and Yaan city were se- lected to estimate the high risk population. Female sex workers （FSW） were estimated through census, men who have sex with men （MSM） were estimate with the capture - recapture method and drug users （DUS） were estimate with multiplier method. Results In Chengdu, the mean number of FSW was 73 72 and accoun- ted for 0. 18% in the female population of 15 -59 years old; DUS was 10 121, accounted for 0. 13% of the resident population of 20 - 60 years old and the IDU accounted for 0. 06 % in the corresponding population; MSM was 27 802 and accounted for 0. 74% in the male population of 20 - 60 years old. In Mianyang, the mean number of FSW was 3638, accounting for 0. 23% of the female population of 15 -59 years old; DUS was 4725 and accounted for 0. 15% in the resident population of 20 - 60 years old and the IDU accounted for 0. 06% in the corresponding population; MSM was 10 182, accounted for 0. 53% in the male residents of 15 -74 years old. In Yaan, the mean number of FSW was 800 and accounted for 0. 19% in the female popu- lation of 15 -59 years old; DUS was 4725 and accounted for 0. 15% of the residents of 15 -59 years old; the IDU accounted for 0. 06% in the same population; MSM was 1444 and accounted for 0.37% in the male popu- lation of 16 -41 years old. Conclusion The scale of HIV/AIDS high risk populations has been basically mas- tered in the aforementioned three cities.

关 键 词：艾滋病 高危人群 规模估计 

分 类 号：R512.91[医药卫生—内科学]