用简易乘数法进行吸毒人群规模估计  

Estimation on Population Size of Drug Users With Simplified Multiplier Method

作　　者：岳潇[1] 艾守美[1] 梁莉[2] 

机构地区：[1]雅安市疾病预防控制中心,四川雅安625000 [2]四川省疾病预防控制中心,成都610041

出　　处：《预防医学情报杂志》2015年第4期291-293,共3页Journal of Preventive Medicine Information

摘　　要：目的掌握雅安市吸毒人群规模,为预测雅安市艾滋病疫情及防治资源配置提供依据。方法采用简易乘数法进行吸毒人群规模估计。结果 2012年雅安市吸毒人群规模为4 626人。结论采用简易乘数法得到的吸毒人群规模数基本反映了雅安市目前的吸毒人群规模。Objective To master the population size of drug users in Yaan city,and to provide a basis for forecasting the HIV / AIDS epidemic and for the allocation of control and prevention resources. Methods Simple multiplier method was adopted for estimating the population size of drug users. Results In 2012,the population size of drug users in Yaan city was estimated as 4626. Conclusion By and large,the simplified multiplier method could reflect the current population size of drug users in Yaan city.

关 键 词：吸毒人群 高危人群 规模估计 乘数法 

分 类 号：R163[医药卫生—公共卫生与预防医学]