俄白哈关税同盟贸易效应及对中国新疆商品出口贸易的影响  

Trade Effects of Russia-Belarus-Kazakhstan Customs Union and the Influence on Export of Xinjiang of China

作　　者：李豫新[1] 王雪梅[1] 

机构地区：[1]新疆石河子大学经济与管理学院,新疆石河子832000

出　　处：《财经理论与实践》2015年第2期100-104,共5页The Theory and Practice of Finance and Economics

基　　金：国家社科基金重点项目(10AJL010);国家软科学项目(2009GXS5D131)

摘　　要：关税同盟的贸易效应对区域外贸易国家和地区的出口贸易具有重要影响。文章应用巴拉萨模型分析了俄白哈关税同盟的贸易效应,结合贸易效应着重探索了俄白哈关税同盟对中国新疆商品出口贸易的影响。结果表明:俄白哈关税同盟的贸易转移效应明显,贸易创造效应初步显现;中国新疆与俄白哈三国的出口贸易紧密度减弱;中国新疆对俄白哈三国的出口贸易增速下降,出口商品贸易结构中的工业制成品占比逐渐下降;俄白哈关税同盟的贸易转移效应对中国新疆商品的出口贸易带来较大冲击。Trade effects of the Russia-Belarus-Kazakhstan Customs Union has an important influence on the export trade of extra-regional trade countries and regions.This paper analyzed the trade effects of Russia-Belarus-Kazakhstan Customs Union using the Balassa model,in combination with trade effect,and mainly explored the Russia-Belarus-Kazakhstan Customs Union effects on Xinjiang＇s export trade.The result shows that the trade diversion effect of this Customs Union is obvious,and the trade creation effect has started to display.There is a weak export trade relationship between Xinjiang China and Russia-Belarus-Kazakhstan;trade growth of Xinjiang to Russia-Belarus-Kazakhstan export is declining;and the proportion of industrial manufactured goods in the trade structure of export are decreasing;the trade diversion effect of this Customs Union brings significant impact on export trade of Xinjiang China.

关 键 词：俄白哈关税同盟 贸易效应 中国新疆 出口贸易影响 

分 类 号：F742[经济管理—国际贸易]