地方领导人更替会影响区域创新能力吗  

Does Local Leaders' Replacement Affect Regional Innovation Ability?

作　　者：吴晓飞[1] 

机构地区：[1]山东大学经济学院

出　　处：《财经科学》2015年第4期107-119,共13页Finance & Economics

基　　金：国家社科基金重点项目"企业原始创新的决定因素与影响效应研究"(14AJL008);山东省自然科学基金项目"空间竞争条件下企业的竞争策略与政府规制研究"(ZR2012GM017)

摘　　要：本文主要从地方领导人更替的角度分析区域创新能力的波动变化。采用1998—2013年度的相关省际面板数据和固定效应模型,研究表明:省委书记更替对区域创新能力存在一定程度的负向影响,但这种影响在多数情况下不显著;而省长更替对区域创新能力则存在较为明显的正向作用。在将更替形式区分为实质性更替和连任两种情形后,研究发现,省委书记的不同更替形式对区域创新能力的影响并无明显变化。而省长更替对区域创新能力的正向影响则主要是由其实质性更替所引起的。In the regional innovation system of our country, political factors may play an important effect. For this reason, this paper mainly analysis the fluctuations of China＇s regional innovation ability from the perspective of local leaders＇ replacement. Using 19982013 provincial panel data and fixed effects model, we find that the replacement of provincial party committee secretary has a negative impact on the regional innovation ability, but this effect isn＇t significant in most cases. In contrast, the replacement of governor has a significant positive in- fluence on the regional innovation ability. If we divide the replacement form into ＂substantial replacement＂ and ＂reappointment＇, we find that the influence of different replacement form of provincial party committee secretary has no obvious change. While, the positive influence of governor＇ s replacement for regional innovation ability is mainly caused by the substantial replacement. Undoubtedly, these conclusions have profound theoretical significance and revelation of management.

关 键 词：地方领导人更替 政策不确定性 创新激励 区域创新能力 

分 类 号：D67[政治法律—政治学] F124.3[政治法律—中外政治制度]