经济结构与经济增长——基于面板平滑转换模型的实证分析  

On the Relation between Economic Structure and Economic Growth in China——An Empirical Analysis Based on Panel Smooth Transition Model

作　　者：方丽婷[1] 李坤明[2] 

机构地区：[1]福州大学,福州350001 [2]福建农林大学,福州350002

出　　处：《工业技术经济》2015年第4期121-128,共8页Journal of Industrial Technological Economics

基　　金：国家自然科学基金面上项目(项目编号:71473039);福建省教育厅社会科学研究项目(项目编号:JAS14050)

摘　　要：本文运用面板平滑转换回归模型对我国经济结构与经济增长的关系进行实证分析,分别考察了第二产业结构和第三产业结构对经济增长的资本产出弹性、劳动产出弹性以及规模报酬的影响。实证结果表明,第二产业的比重与资本产出弹性、劳动产出弹性以及规模报酬均成正相关;第三产业的比重与资本产出弹性呈现一种非线性递增关系,而与劳动产出弹性以及规模报酬成非线性递减关系。In this paper , the panel smooth transition regression model was used to analyze the relationship between the economic structure and economic growth empirically . The paper mainly studied the effects of secondary industry structure and tertiary industry struc-ture on the output elasticity of capital , labor output elasticity and returns of scale . The empirical results showed that the proportion of sec-ondary industry structure was positively correlated with the output elasticity of capital , labor output elasticity and returns of scale . The pro-portion of tertiary industry structure has a nonlinear increasing relationship with the capital output elasticity , and has a nonlinear diminishing relationship with labor output elasticity and returns of scale .

关 键 词：面板平滑转换回归模型 经济结构 经济增长 

分 类 号：F121[经济管理—世界经济]