大连市可持续发展水平测度  

Measurement on the sustainable development of Dalian City

作　　者：刘锴[1] 杜文霞[1] 刘桂春[1] 张耀光[1] 

机构地区：[1]辽宁师范大学海洋经济与可持续发展研究中心

出　　处：《城市问题》2015年第4期45-51,共7页Urban Problems

基　　金：辽宁省高校创新团队项目(WT2014005)

摘　　要：生态文明程度是衡量一座城市可持续发展能力的重要指标之一。运用全排列多边形综合图示法和趋势分析法对沿海城市的可持续发展水平进行了测度。在分别对经济、社会、生态和环境各个子系统进行定量分析的基础上,进一步阐释了经济、社会和生态环境三者之间的相互关系。结果表明:大连市当前的发展为中等可持续发展,且由于地处海岸带地区,生态脆弱性特征较为显著。因而,在对城市进行可持续发展研究时,既要运用时间序列进行纵向研究,又要注意分析各个子系统相互之间的关系,从而实现全面协调发展。Ecological civilization is a key to keep the sustainable development of a city. Two different approaches in- cluding Full Permutation Polygon Synthesis Index method and trend analysis method are used to evaluate the sustainability of coastal city development. Based on the quantitative analysis to the economy, society, ecology and environment, this essay fur- ther elaborates the relations between economy, society and ecol- ogy. The results show that Dalian City is a weak sustainable de- velopment of ＂ ecological vulnerability＂. In the sustainable de- velopment research, longitudinal study with time series data and the relations between each sub system should be both paid atten- tions so as to realize the comprehensive development.

关 键 词：可持续发展 生态文明 全排列多边形综合图示法 趋势分析法 

分 类 号：F299.273.1[经济管理—国民经济]