气象因素对秦皇岛市肾综合征出血热发病的影响  

Influence of meteorological factors on hemorrhagic fever with renal syndrome in Qinhuangdao City

作　　者：陶旭[1] 彭勋[2] 贾春辉[2] 罗永松[1] 史明坤[1] 郑立新[1] 

机构地区：[1]河北省秦皇岛市疾病预防控制中心,066000 [2]秦皇岛市第三医院

出　　处：《职业与健康》2015年第5期678-679,682,共3页Occupation and Health

摘　　要：目的分析秦皇岛市肾综合征出血热(HFRS)的发病情况与气象因素之间的关系。方法收集秦皇岛市2005—2012年气温、湿度、降雨量、日照时数与HFRS发病数,用SPSS 13.0统计软件进行相关分析和线性回归。结果强迫引入法的方程较为可取(调整R2=0.218),月平均气温与发病数呈正相关,月平均湿度与发病数呈负相关。结论秦皇岛市HFRS发病数与气象因素有关系,可以用这些因子来预测发病数。[Objective]To analyze the relationship between incidence of hemorrhagic fever with renal syndrome （HFRS） and meteorological factors.[Methods]The temperature, humidity, rainfall, sunshine hours and HFRS incidence of Qinhuangdao City during 2005-2012 were collected for correlation analysis and linear regression by SPSS13.0 statistical software. [Results]The ordinary regression analysis was suitable （adjusted R2=0.218）, positive correlation was found between the average monthly temperature and the incidence, and negative correlation was obtained between the average monthly humidity and the incidence. [Conclusion]The HFRS incidence is associated with meteorological factors which can be used to predict the incidence.

关 键 词：肾综合征出血热 相关分析 线性回归 气温 湿度 

分 类 号：R184.1[医药卫生—流行病学]