城镇化中期向成熟期转变过程中人口、经济、土地协调度发展——以天津为例  

Population,Economy,Land Urbanization Development Coordination Degree in the Medium Term to Maturity Transformation Process:A Case Study of Tianjin

作　　者：韩冬[1] 

机构地区：[1]北京大学经济学院,北京100871

出　　处：《国土资源科技管理》2015年第2期34-41,共8页Scientific and Technological Management of Land and Resources

基　　金：2013年度天津市企业博士后创新项目择优资助计划项目二等资助项目

摘　　要：新时期城镇化内涵不再仅以城镇化率作为简单的衡量标准,而是由人口、经济、土地等分系统组成的复合体系。在归纳总结城镇化发展内涵的基础上,从人口、经济、土地三方面着眼,选取21个变量作为评价指标,建立了天津市城镇化发展水平及协调度综合评价指标体系;综合利用层次分析法和主成分分析法计算城镇化水平综合评价指数,并进一步讨论天津城镇化的协调发展状况。研究表明,1990—2012年天津的城镇化综合协调程度一直处于上升的趋势,其中城镇化发展指数不断提高,尤以人口和土地的增幅最为迅猛;内部协调发展指数,1995年以前趋于不断提高,1996—2012年间协调度一直维持在较高的水平上,因不同时期城镇化的主导因素变换而有所波动。In the new era ,the measuring standard of the urbanization is not simply the urbanization rate ,but a composite system consisting of population ,economy ,and land subsystem .This study selects 21 variables concerning the population ,economy ,and land as the evaluation indexes and establishes a comprehensive evaluation system of Tianjin urbanization development level and coordination degree .Then ,the study calculates the comprehensive evaluation index of urbanization level by means of AHP and principal component analysis ,and makes a further discussion of Tianjin coordinated development of urbanization .The study has shown that Tianjin comprehensive coordination degree of urbanization has been in an upward trend from 1990 to 2012 .Urbanizationdevelopment index improves continually ,especially the rapid growth of population and land .Because of the different dominant factors of the urbanization ,internal coordination development index tends to continuously improve before 1995 ,and has been maintained at a high level from 1996 to 2012 .

关 键 词：城镇化 协调度 中期 成熟期 天津 

分 类 号：F301[经济管理—产业经济]