中国经济增长的区域分解与要素的区域效应分析  

Regional Decomposition and Regional Effect of the Input Factors of Economic Growth in China

作　　者：吴建民[1] 丁疆辉[2] 靳艳峰[1] 

机构地区：[1]石家庄邮电职业技术学院邮政通信管理系,石家庄050021 [2]河北师范大学资源与环境科学学院,石家庄050016

出　　处：《地域研究与开发》2015年第2期1-6,20,共7页Areal Research and Development

基　　金：国家自然科学基金项目(40901068);河北省自然科学基金项目(D20122050);河北省社会科学基金项目(HB14LJ003);河北省软科学研究计划项目(134576298)

摘　　要：在对相关文献及统计数据分析的基础上对中国经济增长进行区域分解。各省份对全国经济增长贡献的差异性较大,集中度较高;各省份贡献取决于初始经济规模、平均增长速度和当期发展速度;东部地区在继续保持绝对高贡献率的情况下,经济贡献率出现了有条件地向中西部部分省份转移,宏观经济政策起到一定作用。在此基础上进一步研究影响经济增长的关键驱动要素在不同省份间的表现。结果表明:经济增长率对劳动生产率、资本存量的依赖性强且区域差异性明显,决定了各省份对全国经济增长贡献的变化;而对劳动力、第三产业发展、对外贸易依存度的依赖性较低,有条件地优化和提升这些要素将会有利于地区经济发展。Based on the relevant documents,this article disassembles the China＇s economic growth into individual region,and find that the different provinces also differs for contribution to the China＇s economic growth; The contribution to economic growth for every province depends on its initial economic scale,the average rate of growth and the current development speed; When the eastern areas of China continued to maintain absolute more contribution,the contribution of some provinces in central and western regions begin to increase. With the research about critical factors of economic growth in different province,we find that the economic growth rate of province relies more on the labor productivity and the capital stock,but it shows a clear difference,those two factors determine the change of the contribution to national economic growth of the provinces,and we also find that the economic growth rate of province relies less on the labor force,the development of tertiary industry and the foreign trade dependence,and it will be beneficial to local economic development with the improvement of these three factors.

关 键 词：经济增长 区域贡献 驱动要素 时序变化 中国 

分 类 号：K902[历史地理—人文地理学]