节能环保技术R&D投资的“挤出效应”研究——兼论中国的碳排放  

“Crowding-out”effect study on energy saving technology the R&D investment——and on China's carbon emissions

作　　者：李广泳[1] 武普照[2] 

机构地区：[1]清华大学经济学研究所,北京100084 [2]山东财经大学财政与税务学院,山东济南250014

出　　处：《科学管理研究》2015年第1期5-8,共4页Scientific Management Research

基　　金：中国博士后科学基金项目(2014M550685);国家社科基金一般项目(11BJY025);青海省社科基金一般项目(13013);山东省财政学"泰山学者岗位";山东省公共财政和社会保障制度研究基地专项资金资助

摘　　要：通过对国家投资于资源、能源与环境的研发资金和社会总研发资金数据研究发现,中国节能环保研发投资对总研发投资不存在挤出效应,以新能源装机容量作为节能环保研发投资的工具变量用发达国家面板数据以及中国时序数据研究也得到相同的结论;进一步对中国地级市的截面数据研究发现,先污染后治理的环境治理投资对总研发投资有较大的挤出效应;另外,在对环保研发研究的基础上运用VAR模型研究发现,中国煤炭、石油、火电消费对碳排放波动的贡献度分别达到25%、17%和9%。Through the statistical research on social total R＆D funds data and that on national investment in re- source, energy and environment found that investment in China＇s energy saving and environmental protection re- search and development investment does not crowd out total R＆D funds, using new energy installed capacity as tool variables of energy saving and environmental protection R＆D funds, also get the same conclusion with developed country panel data and time--series data of China; further study section data on China＇s prefecture level city found that funds in environmental governance investment after pollution have large extrusion effect on the total R＆D; in addition, applying VAR model based on Environmental protection R＆D research to find that the contribution of China coal, petroleum, power consumption on fluctuation of carbon emissions sent 25 %, 17 ~ and 9 % respective- ly.

关 键 词：节能环保技术R&D投资 挤出效应 碳排放 

分 类 号：F407.206.76[经济管理—产业经济]