我国省域创新能力差异的演变和解释——基于面板数据FEM模型和Shapley分解的分析  

The Evolution and Explanation of Innovation Ability difference among China's provinces:Analysis of FEM Model and Shapley Value Decomposition Based on Panel Data

作　　者：张鹏[1] 于伟[2] 

机构地区：[1]济南大学管理学院,山东济南250002 [2]山东财经大学工商管理学院,山东济南250014

出　　处：《科技管理研究》2015年第7期33-38,共6页Science and Technology Management Research

基　　金：全国统计科学研究计划项目"基于空间Durbin模型的我国省域居民消费结构溢出效应研究"(2013LY057);教育部人文社科研究项目"我国城市化质量空间差异的成因和优化策略"(14YJCZH191)

摘　　要：基于2003—2012年面板统计数据,分析区域创新能力指标值及其基尼系数变化,发现期间我国省域创新能力差距明显且存在扩大趋势;探讨区域创新能力差异的影响因素,选用面板数据固定效应模型(FEM)建立回归方程,应用截面加权广义最小二乘法(CSW-GLS)估计法确定模型参数,基于该模型应用Shapley分解法计算、分析各种创新能力影响因素对创新能力差异的贡献度,据此提出缩小省域间创新能力差距宜以增加创新滞后地区科技人才储备为重,其次考虑大力推进创新滞后地区市场化程度,其他影响因素的优化为再次。Based on 2003 -201 2 panel data,the variance of index value and its gini coefficient of regional innovation abil-ity are analyzed,and the result presents that the differences of innovation ability among China’s provinces are obvious and show an expanding trend.The influence factors of the differences of regional innovation ability are discussed.The regres-sion equation is established using panel data FEMmodel and the parameters of which are determined by CSW -GLS estima-tion method.The various factors’contributions to the innovation ability differences are calculated and analyzed using Shap-ley decomposition based on the above equation.Furthermore,the key point to narrow the innovation ability gap among prov-inces in China is increasing scientific talents reserve for innovation lag areas,followed by promoting market level and devel-oping the other influence factors for lag areas.

关 键 词：创新能力 区域差距 不平等分解 

分 类 号：F124.3[经济管理—世界经济]