浙江省城市化与碳排放关系研究  

Study on the correlativity between the urbanization and carbon emissions of Zhejiang province

作　　者：蔡乐[1] 李浩[1] 

机构地区：[1]宁波大学商学院,浙江宁波315211

出　　处：《科技与管理》2015年第2期19-24,共6页Science-Technology and Management

摘　　要：浙江省正处于城市化的快速发展阶段,高耗能产业快速发展,能源消费增长迅速,导致浙江省碳排放量逐年增加。在计算和分析浙江省2000—2012年城市化水平与碳排放量的基础上,运用EVIEWS7.0计量分析软件,实证检验了浙江省城市化与碳排放之间的协整关系,以及浙江省城市化发展对碳排放的长期弹性和短期弹性,同时还探究了这两者之间的因果关系。最后根据实证结果进行了综合总结并提出了有关降低浙江省碳排放的建议。Zhejiang province is in a stage of rapid development of urbanization process. The fast development of energy-intensive industry and the rapid growth of energy consumption lead to the increase of carbon emissions year by year in Zhejiang province. Based on calculation and analysis of the urbanization level and carbon emissions in Zhejiang province from 2000 to 2012,the article tests the co-integration relationship between the urbanization and the carbon emissions of Zhejiang province using EVIEWS 7. 0 measurement software,and draws conclusion that the urbanization development has long-term effect and short- term effect on carbon emissions. At the same time,the article explores the causal relationship between the two. Finally,it makes a comprehensive summary according to the empirical results and puts forward several advice on reducing carbon emissions in Zhejiang province.

关 键 词：城市化 碳排放 协整 误差修正模型 格兰杰因果分析 

分 类 号：F062.2[经济管理—政治经济学]