中国东北及邻近地区未来地震趋势分析  

Analysis the future seismic trend analysis in Northeast China and adjacent areas

作　　者：马宝君[1] 高双玲[1] 

机构地区：[1]牡丹江地震台,中国黑龙江157009

出　　处：《地震地磁观测与研究》2015年第1期10-14,共5页Seismological and Geomagnetic Observation and Research

基　　金：黑龙江省地震局科研基金项目(201403)

摘　　要：通过分析1905年以来东北及邻近地区深震(mB≥6.0)及浅震(MS≥5.0)活动特征,研究深震、浅震"强震组"的时空相关性,计算二者能量比,认为东北地区已经进入第5活动期尾声,未来1—3年内,发生MS 5.0以上地震的可能性不大。Through the analysis of deep earthquake since 1905 in the northeast and adjacent areas（mb≥ 6.0）and characteristics of shallow earthquake（MS≥ 5.0） activities, study the earthquake depth＂strong earthquake group＂of time and space relevance, calculation depth/shallow seismic energy ratio. The results show that earthquakes active in Northeast China and adjacent areas coming to an end. In the next 1-3 years, shallow earthquakes with magnitude more 5 occur unlikely in Northeast China and adjacent areas.

关 键 词：地震 预测 能量比 

分 类 号：P315[天文地球—地震学]