环境制约下的珠三角地区交通发展模式——来自道路运输能耗及碳排放的证据  

Transportation Development Model under Constraint of Environment in the Pearl River Delta Region: Evidence from Energy Consumption and Emissions of Carbon Dioxide in Road Traffic

作　　者：肖展欣[1,2] 罗安[3] 梁锦[2] 洪梓涵[4] 李红中[5] 

机构地区：[1]中山大学地理科学与规划学院,广州510275 [2]中山大学地球环境与地球资源研究中心,广州510275 [3]同济大学海洋与地球科学学院,上海200092 [4]北京大学国际关系学院,北京100871 [5]中国科学院地质与地球物理研究所,北京100029

出　　处：《热带地理》2015年第2期267-274,共8页Tropical Geography

摘　　要：文章以道路运输为例,通过实地调研统计和文献比对的方法分析了珠三角地区交通运输现状,结果显示:珠三角地区货车总量从2009年的634 117辆持续上升至2010年的686 022辆,经2011年保持基本平稳后并于2012年下降至615 188辆,货物运输的汽油消耗总量从2009年的1 605 039 063 L持续上升至2011年的1 683 547 808 L,并于2012年下降至1 565 549 249 L;柴油消耗总量从2009年的10 280 424 087 L持续上升至2011年的11 469 238 676L,并于2012年下降至10 132 183 276 L。客车总量从23 709辆增长至26 586辆,相应的汽油消耗总量从61 475 930L增加到108 517 822 L,柴油消耗总量从627 713 514 L增加到704 660 120 L。计算结果表明,珠三角地区2009年的CO2排放量由31 443 857.39 t持续上升至2011年的34 808 009.10 t,2012年的道路运输CO2排放下降至2009年水平(31 277 418.02 t),其中2012年CO2排放的贡献比率以柴油货车(82.9%)远远高于其他类型车辆。总的来看,能耗巨大和环境污染是珠三角地区交通发展所面临的重要挑战,尤其以交通大气污染对人们的影响最为明显。最后,提出珠三角地区未来交通发展的核心思路——"交通低碳化",其主要内容包括提高交通运输效率、推行公交先行战略、推广清洁能源交通工具和技术、发展水路运输和推行绿色货运等。With the data from field survey and literature comparison analysis, taking road transportation as an example, this paper explored the current situation of transportation in the Pearl River Delta（PRD） region. The results indicate that the total amount of the trucks continuously increased from 634 117 in 2009 to 686 022 in 2010 and had a sudden drop to 615 188 in 2012. Similarly, the sum of petrol consumption increased from 1 605 039 063 litres in 2009 to 1 683 547 808 litres in 2011 with a sudden fall to 1 565 549 249 litres in 2012. The diesel consumption rose from 10 280 424 087 litres in 2009 to 11 469 238 676 litres in 2011 constantly, then declined to 10 132 183 276 litres in 2012. Meantime, the amount of buses increased from 23 709 to 26 586. Accordingly the sum of petrol consumption increased from 61 475 930 litres to 108 517 822 litres while the diesel consumption rose from 627 713 514 litres to 704 660 120 litres. Calculation results show that CO2 emissions in PRD region in 2009 were 31 443 857.39 ton. It rose to 34 808 009.10 t in 2011 during the following 3 years. Then it went down sharply to 31 277 418.01 ton in 2012, equivalent to the level of 2009. Thereinto, in 2012 disesl truck produced more CO2 emission（82.9%） than other types of vehicles. Generally, huge energy consumption and environment pollution have been deemed as the vital challenges for PRD traffic development, especially traffic air pollution. Thus this article proposes the core thoughts of the future traffic development in RPD, including transport efficiency improvement, bus-first strategy, clean transport system and technology, development of waterage and green cargo project.

关 键 词：珠三角地区 道路运输 能耗 碳排放 低碳交通 

分 类 号：F512.7[经济管理—产业经济]