家庭特征、村庄特征与新疆农村动态贫困  

Household Characteristics,Village Characteristics and Rural Dynamic Poverty in Xinjiang

作　　者：李翠锦[1,2] 李万明[2] 

机构地区：[1]对外经济贸易大学国际经济贸易学院,北京100029 [2]石河子大学经济与管理学院,新疆石河子832000

出　　处：《新疆大学学报（哲学社会科学版）》2015年第1期8-13,共6页Journal of Xinjiang University(Philosophy and Social Sciences)

基　　金：国家社会科学基金项目"边疆民族特殊类型贫困地区贫困和反贫困绩效的调查与评估"(09XMZ047)

摘　　要：文章从动态贫困的视角,基于新疆30个贫困县3000个农户的跟踪调查数据,分析得出新疆现阶段的农村贫困主要是暂时性贫困,且和田的暂时性贫困程度最高,克州的慢性贫困程度最高。进一步采用有序Logit模型,在控制地区固定效应的前提下,着重研究了家庭特征、村庄特征对农户陷入慢性贫困和暂时性贫困的影响,发现子女数、老人数与教育费用支出的增加,以及村庄经济作物播种面积的减少容易使农户陷入慢性贫困,自然灾害的发生与粮食播种面积的减少容易使农户陷入暂时性贫困。最后提出,政府在未来新疆扶贫工作中,应针对慢性贫困户和暂时性贫困户实施不同的精准扶贫对策。In light of dynamic poverty and using the data of 3000 rural households from 30 poverty counties in Xinjiang during the years 2008-2010, this paper found that the present poverty in Xinjiang is transient. Kizilsu prefecture being the highest level of chronic poverty area and Hetian the highest level of transient poverty area. Using the Ordered Logit Model, it studied the effects of household characteristics and village characteristics on rural households’ falling into transient poverty and chronic poverty. The households with more children, the elderly, and the expenditure on education led households easily into chronic poverty, and the occurrences of natural disasters and the decrease of crop sown area reduced households easily to chronic poverty. In the future the government should take effectives measures to alleviate chronic poverty and transient poverty in Xinjiang.

关 键 词：家庭特征 村庄特征 暂时性贫困 慢性贫困 

分 类 号：F323.8[经济管理—产业经济]