面向未来30年上海城市空间网络结构演进趋势研究  

Research on the Evolution Trend of the Urban Spatial Network Structure of Shanghai for the Next 30 Years

作　　者：钱智[1] 陈文彦[2] 施维[2] 

机构地区：[1]上海市人民政府发展研究中心,200003 [2]上海师范大学,200235

出　　处：《科学发展》2015年第4期21-26,共6页Scientific Development

摘　　要：未来30年,上海城市空间整体网络密度仍将呈现不断增长的趋势,但城市网络密度的增长幅度将逐渐降低。上海城市网络层级处于较稳定的状态,但仍可能重新面临重大调整;在相对联系度方面,未来30年城市与城市之间的相对联系度大部分都在增强,但有的却在减弱。上海城市区域相对联系度表现在空间上呈现出明显的核心向边缘递减的变化。对此,应深入研究与谋划,优化提升全球城市功能;统筹区域发展,与周边城市建立长效合作机制;完善基础设施建设。In the next 30 years, Shanghai will keep growing in the overall network density, but the urban network density growth rate will gradually decrease. Shanghai urban network level is in a relatively stable state, but it may still face a major adjustment; in terms of the relative degrees of connection, the relative degree of contact between most of the cities is increasing in the next 30 years, while a few not. The relative connection degree of embodies in the diminishing trend from the core to the edge spatially. Therefore, some suggestions are proposed： to make in-depth research and planning so as to optimize and upgrade global city functions; to coordinate regional development and establish long-term cooperation mechanism with surrounding cities; to improve infrastructure and promote the balanced development of the whole city.

关 键 词：城市区域 城市空间网络 城市相对联系度 

分 类 号：F291.1[经济管理—国民经济]