基于EOF分析的江苏省房地产业与经济发展协调性分析  

Study on Coordination between Real Estate and Economic Development in Jiangsu Based on Empirical Orthogonal Function Method

作　　者：许勇[1] 陈洪全[1] 

机构地区：[1]盐城师范学院城市与资源环境学院,江苏盐城224001

出　　处：《资源开发与市场》2015年第6期682-685,752,共5页Resource Development & Market

基　　金：国家社会科学基金项目(编号:14BSH036);江苏省高校自然科学研究重大项目(编号:14KJA170006);教育部人文社会科学研究项目(编号:11YJC790077)

摘　　要：采用经验正交分解法对江苏省2006—2012年第二、三产业产值、房地产开发投资(住宅)和商品房销售面积(住宅)增速间的差值进行了分析。结果表明,苏南地区房地产投资与经济发展的协调性好于苏北地区;经济发展水平越高,房地产业与经济发展之间和房地产业内部产销间的协调性越好;除部分指标受金融危机影响在2009年前后有较大波动外,大部分指标自2008年以后都保持了平稳态势,反映了江苏省房地产业总体趋向稳定发展的态势。This paper analyzed the difference between the growth rates of secondary and tertiary industries, real estate investment and sold area by Empirical Orthogonal Function （EOF） method. The coordination between secondary and tertiary industries and real estate investment in southern of Jiangsu was better than the north. The coordination of developed areas were better than that of undeveloped areas. Time coefficients of most factors kept a stable posture after 2008, some of them were impacted by financial crisis in 2009, this showed that the development of real estate in Jiangsu was healthy and stable.

关 键 词：房地产业 经济发展 协调性 

分 类 号：F299.2[经济管理—国民经济] O212.1[理学—概率论与数理统计]