区域农业水资源恢复力可变模糊评价模型  

Variable Fuzzy Evaluation Model of Regional Agricultural Water Resources Resilience Based on CRITIC

作　　者：梁旭[1] 刘东[1,2,3,4] 孙建[5] 吴亚春[5] 

机构地区：[1]东北农业大学水利与建筑学院,哈尔滨150030 [2]农业部农业水资源提高利用重点实验室,哈尔滨150030 [3]黑龙江省粮食产能提升协同创新中心,哈尔滨150030 [4]黑龙江省普通高校节水农业重点实验室,哈尔滨150030 [5]东北农业大学电气与信息学院,哈尔滨150030

出　　处：《节水灌溉》2015年第4期46-51,共6页Water Saving Irrigation

基　　金：黑龙江省教育厅科学技术研究项目(12531012)

摘　　要：区域农业水资源系统是与自然及人类活动紧密联系的复杂适应系统,不断与周围环境发生物质、能量和信息因素方面的交换和作用。以黑龙江省农垦红兴隆管理局12个农场为研究基点,运用主成分-相关分析法筛选评价指标,构建农业水资源恢复力评价指标体系,采用CRITIC法确定指标权重,结合可变模糊模型评价方法对其农业水资源系统恢复力进行评价,并利用ArcGIS技术对其进行分区,结果表明:双鸭山、八五三、北兴和八五二农场的农业水资源恢复力为Ⅱ级,饶河、二九一、五九七、红旗岭、友谊、江川、宝山和曙光的农业水资源恢复力为Ⅲ级。研究成果揭示了当地农业水资源系统力恢复情况,为农业水资源系统恢复力研究提供了一种新的研究模式。Regional agricultural water resource resilience evaluation always has certain difficulty because it is unpredictable,self-organize and non-linear.In this paper,based on the 12 state farms of Hongxinglong Bureau in Heilongjiang Province,the principal components and correlation analysis method is used to create the evaluation index system of agricultural water resource resilience and ascertain the weights of indexes with Criteria Importance Through Intercriteria Correlation（CRITIC）.Then the agricultural water resource resilience is evaluated by combined with the variable fuzzy set model and ArcGIS is used to make classification.The result shows that the water resource resilience level in Shuangyashan Farm,853 Farm,Beixing Farm and 852 Farm are levelⅡ,in Raohe Farm,291 Farm,597Farm,Hongqiling Farm,Youyi Farm,Jiangchuan Farm,Baoshan Farm and Shuguan Farm are levelⅢ.The current achievement of this research reveals the local situation of agricultural water resource resilience and provides a new research mode of agricultural water resource resilience as well.

关 键 词：主成分-相关分析法 CRITIC法 可变模糊模型 恢复力 红兴隆管理局 

分 类 号：S117[农业科学—农业基础科学] TV213[水利工程—水文学及水资源]