为何流动人口徘徊于农村与城市?——基于我国中西部地区六省数据的分析  

Why Floating Population Hovered around the Rural and Urban Analyzed Based on the Central and Western Regions Six Provinces Survey Data in China

作　　者：梁海艳[1] 李灿松[2] 

机构地区：[1]中国人民大学社会与人口学院,北京100872 [2]云南师范大学MBA教育中心,云南昆明650092

出　　处：《人口与发展》2015年第1期32-40,11,共10页Population and Development

基　　金：中国人民大学科学研究基金(中央高校基本科研业务费专项资金资助)项目:我国人口迁移流动对通婚圈的影响研究(项目批准号:14XNH093)的资助;国家社科基金<滇藏川毗连藏区流动人口及其族际关系演变与调适>(11CMZ034);国家自然基金<藏区寺院与乡村聚落共生形态演化机理研究>(41361038)的阶段性成果之一

摘　　要：我国流动人口30多年的历程表明,他们总是在城市与农村两地之间徘徊。流动人口返乡的主要原因不是经济因素,而是社会性因素,主要是回家探亲。具体返乡原因因性别、受教育程度有所差异;农村人口外出体现的是一个家庭的决策,不仅受个人的年龄、性别、受教育程度、户口性质、就业状况、流动经历等因素的影响,也会受到家庭承包土地耕管现状、承包面积以及家庭收入等因素的影响。一旦外出,流动人口之后的流动行为更多地体现为流动者自身的决策。如外出地域的选择只受其个人年龄、性别、受教育程度、就业状况和流动经历的影响。流动经历对流动者自身的后续迁移决策发挥了重要"累积效应",人口流动具有明显的惯性势能。In the process of migration more than 30 years, despite floating population size, quali- ty, distribution and structure have taken place a remarkable change,the only constant is ＂float- ing＂ ,They are wandering between urban and rural. In this paper, research finding that：Migrants returning home is not for the economic factors, but for the social factors. Return reason is differ- ent from gender,education;The rural population is going to migrate will be affected by individu- al age, sex, education, household register, employment, migration experience and family contrac- ting land situation, acreage and family income, but the regional selection of migration will onlyaffected by its individual age, sex, education, employment gration experience playing the role of ＂Cumulative Effect＂ gration has an obvious inertial potential energy. , and migration experience ; The mi- in the later migration decision, mi-

关 键 词：迁移惯性 累积效应 流动人口 农村与城市外出意愿 

分 类 号：C913[经济管理]