反舰导弹落点区离散化的目标捕捉概率模型  

The Acquiring Probability Model Based On Discrete Area of Anti-ship Missile

作　　者：沈培志[1] 张邦钰 聂奇刚 

机构地区：[1]海军航空工程学院,烟台264001

出　　处：《战术导弹技术》2015年第2期90-95,共6页Tactical Missile Technology

摘　　要：分析了反舰导弹自控终点散布误差和目标指示信息误差两个因素对目标捕捉概率的影响,对比了目前反舰导弹目标捕捉概率的几种相关计算模型,提出了利用极坐标计算自控终点散布概率的方法。在对一种反舰导弹一次捕捉概率为1的计算模型进行研究的基础上,将导弹等效落点区域进行离散化处理,提出了新的目标捕捉概率解析计算模型,计算了一定捕捉概率下两种模型对雷达搜索范围及目指信息精度的要求,并以蒙特卡洛仿真法作为参照,结果表明新模型的数据更为准确。The Influence of self-control point and target point on acquiring probability is analyzed. Sever- al related models of acquiring probability had been contrasted. Polar coordinates had been used in calcu- lating self-control terminal point. Based on the model that target acquiring probability being 1 in radar＇ s first scan period, it built a new acquiring probability model by dispersing the equivalent drop-point area. The radar search range and target indication data had been calculated while acquiring probability re- mained unchanged. Two models had been contrasted with Monte-Carlo simulation. The results demonstra- ted that the data of new model was more accurate.

关 键 词：反舰导弹 目标捕捉概率 目指信息 落点区域离散化 

分 类 号：TJ761.14[兵器科学与技术—武器系统与运用工程]