中等收入阶段城镇化和工业化的协调及其影响指标研究——基于长三角城市群面板数据  

The Research on the Coordination and Impact Indicators of Urbanization and Industrialization in the Middle Income Stage: B ased on the Panel Data of Yangtze River Delta Urban Agglomerations

作　　者：谢福泉[1] 胡锈腾 黄佳裕 

机构地区：[1]华东师范大学商学院

出　　处：《中国经济问题》2015年第3期15-28,共14页China Economic Studies

基　　金：上海市人民政府发展研究中心重点课题(2014-GZ-05)的资助

摘　　要：城镇化和工业化相互依存,互动融合发展。本文以长三角城市群为研究对象,选取2001-2011年期间城镇化和工业化相关指标数据,首先利用变异系数构建协调发展度模型测定两者之间的协调水平;然后以协调发展度为解释变量,利用面板数据分析两者协调发展的影响指标;并进一步对城市进行协调分类,利用混合回归模型探究不同协调水平类型的影响指标。最后,结合实证结果提出区别类型、分类治理,人口、空间城镇化同步发展,大力发展第三产业,公共资源配置均等化,重视环境资源保护等举措来推进两者间的协调发展。Urbanization and industrialization are interdependent and interactive fusion development. This article takes the Yangtze River Delta urban agglomerations for the study and selects related index data of urbanization and industrialization in the year 2001-2011. First, it constructs coordinated development degree model with the variation eoeffieient to determine the coordination level between urbanization and industrialization. Then it regards the coordinated development degree as explanatory variables and uses panel data to analyze the impactindicators of coordinated development. Meanwhile, the article classifies the cities on the basis of development degree and explores the impact indicators of different coordination level types with the mixed regression models. Finally, it combines the empirical results and proposes initiatives such as distinguishing the types and governance classification, simultaneous development of population and space urbanization, improving the investment structure, establishment of modern service, equalization of public resource allocation, attaching importance to the protection of environmental resources to promote coordination between urbanization and industrialization.

关 键 词：城镇化 工业化 协调发展 面板数据 

分 类 号：F299.27[经济管理—国民经济] F427