北京都市型现代农业发展水平的评价研究  被引量:32

Evaluation on the development level of Beijing 's urban modern agriculture

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作  者:蒋和平[1] 张成龙[2] 刘学瑜[1,2] 

机构地区:[1]中国农科院农业经济与发展研究所,北京100081 [2]中国农科院研究生院,北京100081

出  处:《农业现代化研究》2015年第3期327-332,共6页Research of Agricultural Modernization

基  金:北京市科委软科学研究课题(Z131108001613102)

摘  要:运用层次分析和专家咨询法,构建一套较为科学的都市型现代农业发展评价指标体系,对2006-2011年北京市都市型现代农业发展水平进行定量测算,并将评价结果与上海、天津、广州的评价结果进行比较。结果表明,2011年北京市都市型现代农业发展实现度为72.16%。四个二级指标中,农村发展水平的实现度为82.16%;农业投入水平实现度为76.83%;农业产出水平实现度为62.58%;农业可持续发展水平实现度为73.56%。北京市2006-2011年都市型现代农业实现度分别为60.53%、63.76%、67.48%、67.94%、69.56%及72.16%。2011年上海、广州、天津其他三个城市的都市型现代农业发展的实现度结果分别为66.80%、66.15%、64.08%。研究表明近六年北京都市型现代农业平稳发展,总体实现度稳步上升,2011年都市型现代农业发展水平基本进入发展阶段后期,虽然各个指标发展存在发展不平衡问题,但在全国范围来看总体处于领先水平,且具有较大的发展潜力。具体与其他三大都市相比,北京市的单位耕地面积、农机总动力、土地生产率、农业增加值占GDP比重、人均肉蛋奶水产品占有量、单位耕地农药使用量,是发展较为薄弱的环节。Using the hierarchy analysis and expert consultation method, this paper builds a more scientific evaluation index system of urban modem agriculture development by measuring and calculating the degree of development level of Beijing urban modem agriculture quantitatively from 2006 to 2011. Comparing the evaluation results with those of Shanghai, Tianjin, and Guangzhou, we found that in 2011 the realization degree of Beijing urban modem agriculture was 72.16%. In the four secondary indexes, the realization degree of the rural development level was 82.16%; the realization degree of agricultural input level was 76.83% ; the achieved degree of agricultural output level was 62.58%; and the degree of agricultural sustainable development level was 73.56%. The realization degrees of Beijing urban modem agriculture form 2006 to 2011 were 60.53%, 63.76%, 67.48%, 67.94%, 69.56%, and 72.16% respectively. In contract, the degrees of the development levels of urban modem agriculture in Shanghai, Guangzhou, and Tianjin were 66.80%, 66.15%, and 66.80% respectively. These numbers show that Beijing urban modem agriculture had a steady development in the past six years, and were almost in the late stage of the development period in 2011, though some indicators had unbalanced development problems. Beijing still leads the whole nation in the development of urban modem agriculture with great development potential. Comparing with other three metropolises, Beijing has some weakness in the following areas, including the total power of agricultural machinery on unitary arable land, the land productivity, the added value of agricultural GDP, per capita output of meat, egg, and milk products, and the quantity of pesticide application on unitary cultivated land.

关 键 词:北京都市型现代农业 发展水平 评价 指标体系 现代农业 

分 类 号:F323.1[经济管理—产业经济]

 

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