我国能源部门气候风险评估与管理体系框架初探  

Preliminary Research for Climate Risk Assessment and Management System Framework in China's Energy Sector

作　　者：丁丁 刘恒伟 戴东宝[2] 

机构地区：[1]国家应对气候变化战略研究和国际合作中心,北京100038 [2]山东科技大学,泰安271019

出　　处：《中国能源》2015年第5期17-21,共5页Energy of China

基　　金：国家能源局"十三五"能源规划前期重大问题研究课题

摘　　要：气候变化通过多种途径影响能源的生产和消费。气候变化会导致空气和水温升高、区域和季度水资源减少、风暴和洪水等极端事件发生的频率和强度升高,以及海平面上升等。为做好适应气候变化工作,针对潜在气候风险做好规划,本文初步分析了我国能源部门的气候风险及其特征,尝试提出了能源部门气候风险评估与管理体系框架,并对如何评估和管理能源部门和行业的气候风险提出了相应建议。The changing climate impacts the energy sector in many ways. It can increase air and water temperatures, decrease water availability across regions and seasons, and increase intensity and frequency of storm events, flooding and sea level rise. To cope with climate change and make plan for possible climate change, the paper firstly examines the potential climate risks on the Chinese energy sector as well as analyzes their characteristics, then it proposes a primary framework to evaluate and manage the risks. Finally, the paper proposes policy recommendations for evaluating and managing the climate risks in the energy sector.

关 键 词：能源 气候变化 风险管理 

分 类 号：F426.2[经济管理—产业经济] P49[天文地球—大气科学及气象学]