我国省际边际碳减排成本预测  

The marginal carbon abatement cost forecast for Chinese provinces

作　　者：陈立芸[1] 杨群[2] 

机构地区：[1]天津大学管理与经济学部,天津300072 [2]燕山大学国防科学技术学院,秦皇岛066004

出　　处：《干旱区资源与环境》2015年第5期1-5,共5页Journal of Arid Land Resources and Environment

摘　　要：根据"十二五"期间的我国各个省、直辖市国内生产总值年均增长率,单位生产总值CO2排放下降指标和单位国内生产总值能源消耗下降指标,中文构建了非参数方向距离函数测算模型,对2015年我国28个省、直辖市的边际碳减排成本进行预测。结果表明:经济较为发达的地区,大多生产效率较高,边际碳减排成本较大,实施CO2减排的难度从而较大。According to the average annual GDP growth ergy consumption growth rate, CO2 emissions growth rate of per unit GDP and en- rate of per unit GDP of Chinese provinces in the “ 12th Five - Year” period, a model based on the non -parametric directional distance function was built to estimate the marginal carbon abatement costs of 28 provinces and municipalities. The results showed that most of the economically developed areas had higher productivity and larger marginal carbon abatement cost. It was difficult for them to reduce the carbon e- mission.

关 键 词：边际碳减排成本 方向距离函数 碳排放强度 

分 类 号：F062.1[经济管理—政治经济学]