新型城镇化进程中地方政府债务风险的再思考  

The reconsideration of local government debt risk in the Process of New Urbanization

作　　者：杨林[1] 侯欢[2] 

机构地区：[1]山东大学(威海)商学院,山东威海264209 [2]中国海洋大学经济学院,山东青岛266100

出　　处：《财经论丛》2015年第5期24-31,共8页Collected Essays on Finance and Economics

基　　金：国家社会科学基金资助项目(14AGL022)

摘　　要：以新型城镇化建设与地方政府债务风险的耦合关系为逻辑起点,展开对地方政府债务风险的研究后发现:财权事权不对等格局下建设新型城镇化,催生地方政府债务的规模风险;以融资平台为建设新型城镇化的筹资渠道,突增地方政府债务的结构风险;偿债主体责任意识模糊引致地方政府债务的管理风险;以土地为杠杆的融资模式加剧地方政府债务的偿还风险。在此基础上,从地方政府债务规模风险、结构风险、管理风险、偿债风险四个方面构建测度指标体系,运用熵值法对我国30个省的地方政府债务风险进行测度,并针对新型城镇化进程中地方政府债务风险的演进态势,提出风险防范对策。The paper is logically based on the coupling relationship of the new urbanization and the local government debt risk so as to research on the debt risk of local government. Nowadays, the construction of new urbanization under the situation of unequal financial power and administrative power catalysts the scale debt risks of local government. The channel of financing platform for the construction of new urbanization intensifies the structural debt risks in local government. The vague awareness of responsibility among debt payers results in debt management risk in local government. Financing mode with land as the le- verage worsens the debt payment risk in local government. Under such background, a measurement indicator system shall be built from four aspects including scale risk, structure risk, management risk and payment risk of the local government debt. The entropy value method shall be adopted to measure the debt risk of the local governments in Chinese 30 provinces. Finally, the risk prevention countermeasures shall be made depending on the evolution of the local government debt risk in the process of new urbanization.

关 键 词：新型城镇化 地方政府债务 债务风险 

分 类 号：F810.7[经济管理—财政学]