基于故障树的备件需求预测研究  

Prediction of Spare Parts Demand Based on Fault Tree Analysis

作　　者：任喜[1,2] 赵建军[1] 孙怀亮[3] 

机构地区：[1]海军航空工程学院 [2]91202部队 [3]中国水产科学研究院黄海水产研究所

出　　处：《舰船电子工程》2015年第5期108-110,共3页Ship Electronic Engineering

摘　　要：作为装备备件需求预测的重要方法之一,故障树分析法是对现有成熟装备的主要预测方法。在分析装备结构的基础上,结合装备故障情况建立相关故障树模型,并通过某型导弹的例子给出了在保障度一定的前提下,如何对装备中备件进行有效的预测配置,为备件需求预测研究提供了必要的理论基础。As one of the important methods and equipment spare parts demand forecasting, fault tree analysis is a major prediction of the existing mature equipment. Based on the analysis of equipment structure, combined with the establishment of related equipment failure fault tree model, and through the example of a certain type of missile under the protection degree is given certain preconditions, how the spare parts and equipment for effective forecasting configuration, the demand for spare parts prediction provides the necessary theoretical basis. Case studies demonstrate the effectiveness of this method.

关 键 词：备件 需求预测 故障树 保障 

分 类 号：E92[军事—军事装备学]