杭州市老龄人口空间分布及演化规律研究  

A STUDY ON THE SPATIAL DISTRIBUTION AND EVOLUTION TREND OF AGING POPULATION IN HANGZHOU

作　　者：王纪武[1] 邵雨莲 

机构地区：[1]浙江大学建工学院城市规划与设计研究所

出　　处：《城市规划》2015年第5期47-51,82,共6页City Planning Review

基　　金：浙江省自然科学基金项目(LY13E080001)

摘　　要：概述了我国城乡规划领域对人口老龄化研究的基本发展情况,认为应对老龄化问题的城乡规划,需要对老龄人的空间分布进行动态的、整体的研究。以杭州市区为样本,在"五普"和"六普"数据的基础上,应用GIS及相关模型对2000年、2010年杭州市区老龄人口密度进行计算和空间化处理。研究发现:圈层结构是杭州市老龄人口空间分布的基本特征,城市中心与外围地区的老龄人口密度成指数下降;城市中心地区的老龄人口密度不断提高、老龄化程度加深,且分布边界相对稳定;不同圈层的老龄人口在年龄结构上存在差异性。在此基础上给出了与老龄人口空间分布特征与发展趋势相适应的养老设施规划建议。The paper analyzes the development of the study on aging population in China＇s urban and rural planning field, and presents that urban and rural planning which replies to the issue of population aging should conduct a dynamic and holistic study on population distribution. Taking Hangzhou City as an example, the paper, using GIS and correlation models, calculates and analyzes the spatial density and distribution of aging population based on the fifth and sixth population census. The study finds that the concentric ring structure is the basic characteristic of spatial distribution of the aging population in Hangzhou, and that the aging population density has an exponential drop from city center and peripheral area to the outlying area. The aging population density in the city center continues to increase, the degree of aging deepens, and the distribution boundary is relatively stable. Moreover, there is a disparity between the age structures of the aging population in different rings. On this basis, the paper puts forward some suggestions for the planning of old-age care facilities which needs to adapt to the spatial distribution and development trend of the aging population.

关 键 词：老龄化 人口密度 空间分布 规划对策 

分 类 号：TU984.2[建筑科学—城市规划与设计] C922[社会学—人口学]