2013年南方高温旱区人工影响天气作业条件预报产品检验  

Examination of Weather Modification Conditions Forecast Products of High Temperature and Arid Regions in Southern China in 2013

作　　者：徐冬英[1] 唐林[1] 高炉东 

机构地区：[1]湖南省人工影响天气办公室,湖南长沙410007 [2]湖南省气象局,湖南长沙410007

出　　处：《安徽农业科学》2015年第17期215-218,共4页Journal of Anhui Agricultural Sciences

摘　　要：2013年夏季南方出现大范围干旱,8月中旬针对"尤特"台风登陆天气过程,中国气象局人工影响天气连续制作发布了10期作业条件预报产品。在此利用实况资料对预报产品进行检验,结果表明,云带预报与实况在范围和落区上均比较吻合;降雨量分布与实况相比,其范围和落区基本一致,但模式预报对毛毛雨降水过程不能很好体现;预报的云垂直结构与探空资料再分析产品吻合得比较好,其云顶高度略为偏低。The large range of drought appeared in the summer of 2013. In the middle of August, the weather modification center of China made and released 10 issue of weather modification conditions forecast products and tested the forecast products with the using of observation data when the ＂Utor＂ typhoon weather passed. The results showed that the forecast of the range and area of cloud bands and rainfall and the vertical structure of cloud and the reanalysis products of the sounding data fitted in nicely with the observational data. However, drizzle＇ s fore- cast was not so good and cloud top＇ s forecast was slightly lower.

关 键 词：人工影响天气作业条件 预报产品 检验 南方高温旱区 

分 类 号：S165.25[农业科学—农业气象学]