集体林地流转影响因素分析——基于7省3500个样本农户数据  

Analysis On Factors Influencing Forestland Transfer——A Study Based On Survey Data of 3500 Households in 7 Provinces in China

作　　者：许凯[1,2] 张升[2] 

机构地区：[1]中国林业科学研究院,北京100091 [2]国家林业局经济发展研究中心,北京100714

出　　处：《林业经济》2015年第4期12-20,46,共10页Forestry Economics

摘　　要：从人力资本、资源禀赋、机会成本、制度约束、政策扶持等方面分析了我国集体林地流转的影响因素;基于理论分析,采用辽宁、湖南、江西、福建、云南、陕西和甘肃7省3500个农户样本数据,选取相应变量构建二元Logit计量经济模型,分别对影响农户林地转入和林地转出的因素进行实证分析。林地转入模型结果表明,在户主个人特征和家庭生产资源禀赋方面,户主是否为干部、户主个人年收入、家庭留守劳动力、家庭林地面积对林地转入具有正向影响;家庭非林收入比重、家庭耕地面积对林地转入具有负向影响。在制度约束方面,林权证、林权纠纷和采伐指标等对林地转入具有显著影响。在林业扶持政策方面,造林补贴、林权抵押贷款和森林保险均对农户林地转入行为具有正向影响。林地转出模型结果显示,防火、防虫情况能否满足林业生产需要以及采伐指标、造林补贴和森林保险在不同置信水平和不同方向上影响农户林地转出行为。This paper analyses possible factors of human capital, production resources endowment, opportunity cost, institutional constraint and supporting policies that may influence the forestland transfer. Then, a binary Logit regression model is built to quantitatively examine the relationship between those factors and farmers＇ foresdand transfer behaviors on a sample of 3500 households in the 9 provinces of Liaoning, Hunan, Jiangxi, Fujian, Yunnan, Shaanxi and Gansu.The inflow model results indicate that whether the householder is a cadre, the householder＇ s in- come, labor at home, forestland areas, forestry property rights disputes, forest logging quota, as well as afforestation subsidy, forestry property rights mortgage loan and forest insurance have positive impacts on forest[and inflow. However, non-forestry income ratio of the family, farmland areas, forestry property rights certification, have nega- tive impacts on forestland inflow. The outflow model finds that the condition of fire prevention and pests preven- tion as well as forest logging quota, afforestation subsidy and forest insurance are associated with farmers＇ behavior of forestland outflow and have different levels of impact on it.

关 键 词：集体林地 流转 影响因素 

分 类 号：F326.22[经济管理—产业经济]