巴彦淖尔市水市场水权交易模型研究  

Study on water right trade model for the water market of Bayannur city

作　　者：王丽珍[1] 黄跃飞[2] 王光谦[2] 赵建世 

机构地区：[1]中国水利水电科学研究院流域水循环模拟与调控国家重点实验室,北京100038 [2]清华大学水沙科学与水利水电工程国家重点实验室,北京100084

出　　处：《水力发电学报》2015年第6期81-87,共7页Journal of Hydroelectric Engineering

基　　金：十二五科技支撑课题(2013BAB05B03);黑河重大研究计划重点基金项目(91125018);水利部公益行业科研专项(201301001;201301005)

摘　　要：本文引入复杂适应系统理论,对水权交易模型中的生产用水主体进行概化,建立了三层次的生产用水主体划分;将生产用水主体的行为简化为用水、买水、卖水、节水四个主要行为;采用经济学主体方程来决定生产用水主体各种行为的产生和选择;以区域经济效益最大为优化目标。将模型应用于水资源短缺的巴彦淖尔市,初步分析结果表明,构建的水权交易模型能够很好地分析区域总潜可交易水量,并为区域水市场可交易水量的确定和水权交易价格的制定提供科学依据。The complex adaptive system theory was introduced to generalize production water agents into three levels in a water right trade model. The agents＇ activity was simplified with four major behaviors： water use, water buying, water selling and water saving, and they were determined by an economics agent equation. Maximum regional economic benefit is the target of optimization. This model was applied to the water market in Bayannur city that is facing a water shortage problem. The results indicate that it is effective in analysis of the potential water which can be traded and it supplies a decision support to determination and adjustment on water price in water market for water resource management sectors.

关 键 词：水资源 水权交易 经济学主体方程 水市场 复杂适应系统理论 

分 类 号：TV213.4[水利工程—水文学及水资源]