牛羊肉价格上涨对我国城乡居民肉类消费结构的影响研究  

Research on Effects of Beef and Mutton Price's Rise on Chinese Urban and Rural Residents' Consumption Structure

作　　者：王雪娇[1] 肖海峰[1] 

机构地区：[1]中国农业大学经济管理学院,北京100083

出　　处：《农业经济与管理》2015年第3期40-45,50,共7页Agricultural Economics and Management

基　　金：农业部和财政部项目(CARS-40-20)

摘　　要：随着我国城镇化进程的不断推进,人民生活水平进一步提高,城乡居民食品消费结构发生显著变化,尤其是肉类消费结构的变化。牛羊肉相比猪肉特有的低脂肪、低胆固醇、高蛋白等特点,使其在居民的肉类消费中更受青睐,导致近年来国内牛羊肉价格不断上涨。牛羊肉价格上涨会对我国城乡居民肉类消费结构产生哪些影响？本文基于2002~2012年我国城镇和农村居民的省级面板数据,采用消费需求函数的双对数模型,就牛羊肉价格上涨对我国城乡居民肉类消费结构的影响进行实证分析。在此基础上,以城镇居民为例,就不同收入等级我国居民牛羊肉消费比例变动的影响因素做进一步研究。结果表明,牛羊肉价格变动对我国城乡居民牛羊肉消费比例变化的弹性值均显著为负;不同收入等级城镇居民的收入变动对牛羊肉消费比例变动的幅度呈倒＂v＂型。With the speeding up of urbanization in China, the people’ s living standards improved, sig-nificant changes have taken place in the consumption structure of urban and rural residents’ food, especiallymeat consumption structure. Compared to pork, beef and mutton have peculiar characteristics, such as lowfat, low cholesterol, high protein, which make it more positively in meat consumption of residents, lead to ris-ing prices for beef and mutton in recent years. So, will the beef and mutton prices affect meat consumptionstructure of Chinese urban and rural residents？ Based on Chinese provincial panel data from 2002-2012,double logarithmic model of consumer demand functions was adopted to analyze empirically the effects ofbeef and mutton price’s rise on Chinese urban and rural residents’ consumption structure in this paper. Andthen, taking urban residents as an example, to further research the influence factors about the proportionchanges of beef and mutton’s consumption within different income levels of urban residents. The resultsshowed that the change of prices of beef and mutton on the elastic of Chinese urban and rural residents’ consumption ratio was significantly negative; Magnitude of changes in different income level of urban resi-dents on beef and mutton’s consumption ratios were an inverted ＂v＂ shape.

关 键 词：牛羊肉价格 肉类消费结构 消费结构价格弹性 人均纯收入 

分 类 号：F452[经济管理—产业经济]