动物疫病经济影响的研究进展  

Research Progress on Economic Impacts of Animal Disease

作　　者：黄泽颖[1] 王济民[1] 

机构地区：[1]中国农业科学院农业经济与发展研究所,北京100081

出　　处：《中国农业科技导报》2015年第2期167-173,共7页Journal of Agricultural Science and Technology

基　　金：现代农业产业技术体系建设专项(CARS-42-12B);清华大学中国农村研究院博士论文奖学金项目资助

摘　　要：动物疫病对养殖户、消费者、畜牧产业均产生不良影响。研究动物疫病经济影响对评估损失程度,制定有效的防疫措施有重要意义。目前的研究主要涉及动物疫病对生产者、消费者、畜牧产业、国际贸易与区域经济的影响,但对影响因素与对国际贸易与区域经济影响的研究较少,推断性统计的应用不多。与国际相比,我国的研究总体滞后,未来的研究应放在动物疫病对消费者、畜牧产业、国家和国际经济影响等层面,并突破目前国内的局部静态理论和研究方法,尝试采用符合动物疫病特征的跨期、一般均衡等经济理论和空间计量、流行病学经济模型,并重视动物疫病经济影响的模拟和预测。Animal diseases have excerted bad influence on farmers, consumers, domestic and animal industries. Study the economic impact of animal disease is of great importance to evaluate the extent of loss, and develop effective prevention measures. Current studies mainly involved the economic impact of animal disease on producers, consumers, animal industries, international trade, and regional economy. But studies about its influence on international trade and regional economy were less, and application of inferential statistics is not much. Compared with the international society, studies in China is lag behind. So future research should lay emphasis on influence of animal diseases to consumers, animal industries, nation and the world. We should also break through the present partial, static, theoraticle research method, and try to adhere to inter-temporal and general equilibrium theories in accordance with animal disease characteristics; and apply econometric models including spatial econometrics and epidemiology; and also pay attention to simulate and forecast economic impacts of animal diseases.

关 键 词：动物疫病 经济影响 损失评估 动物卫生经济 研究进展 

分 类 号：F307.3[经济管理—产业经济]