工业化后期中国出口商品中内涵能源变化的动因分析——基于世界投入产出表的数据  

Cause Analysis on the Change of Embodied Energy in Post-industrial China's Export Commodities:Base on the Data of World Input-Output Table

作　　者：刘瑞翔[1] 王洪亮[1] 

机构地区：[1]南京审计学院经济与贸易学院,江苏南京211815

出　　处：《南京审计学院学报》2015年第3期35-44,共10页journal of nanjing audit university

基　　金：国家社会科学基金项目(10CJL020);江苏省社会科学基金项目(14EYD005);江苏省高校人文社科项目(2014SJD148;2013SJB790035)

摘　　要：采用世界投入产出表(WIOT)的最新数据测算2000年以来中国出口商品中的内涵能源变化情况,并利用结构分解方法(SDA)对其变化的动因进行分析,所得主要结论如下:中国出口商品中的内涵能源从2000年的29082.36万吨标准煤增长到2011年的85178.1万吨标准煤,在12年间增长了约2.93倍,年均增长率为13.75%;中国出口内涵能源变化规律在不同阶段呈现出不同变化特征,其所占能源消耗总量的比例先上升再下降,整体上呈现出倒U型的变化趋势;中间品结构、出口结构以及外贸出口商品数量促进了中国出口商品内涵能源的增长,能源效率提高有效抑制了出口商品内涵能源的过快增长;在未来"十三五"乃至更长一段时期内,中国出口商品中的内涵能源将保持温和增长趋势。This paper uses the latest data from World Inport-Output Table（WIOT） to estimate the change of embodied energy in China＇s export commodities since 2000 and uses the Structural Decomposition Analysis（SDA） to analyze the cause of chan- ges. The study shows that： As far as embodied energy is concerned, the standard coal increased from 290,823,600 tons in 2000 to 851,781,000 tons in 2011, an increase of about 2.93 times within 12 years, with an average annual growth rate of 13.75% ; in different stages, there shows different characteristics in the change of embodied energy in China＇s export commod- ities, which accounted for the fact that the proportion of total energy consumption increased at first and then decreased, the o- verall trend of change was presented in inverted U-type. Intermediate structure, export structure and the quantity of export commodity promote the growth of embodied energy in China＇s export commodities, and the improvement of energy efficiency ef- fectively inhibits its excessive growth. In the future 13th 5-years（from 2016 to 2020） and even a longer period of time, the embodied energy in China＇s export commodities will maintain a moderate growth trend.

关 键 词：内涵能源 世界投入产出表 能源效率 出口规模 贸易结构 资源配置 能源消耗 经济增长方式 

分 类 号：F752.62[经济管理—国际贸易]