中国纸及纸板进口贸易影响因素分析  

An Analysis of the Influencing Factors of Chinese Paper and Paper Board Imports

作　　者：张瑞雪[1] 宋维明[1] 

机构地区：[1]北京林业大学,北京100083

出　　处：《林业经济》2015年第5期52-57,共6页Forestry Economics

摘　　要：自1997年以来,中国已经成为纸及纸板生产和消费大国,2009年中国纸及纸板产量第一次超过美国,成为全球最大生产国。与此同时,中国也存在着相对产量而言较小规模的纸及纸板进口及出口贸易。通过对影响中国纸及纸板进口因素的分析,并根据1983~2012年中国造纸工业相关数据,建立多元线性回归模型,从供给因素、需求因素、原材料供应等方面对可能影响中国纸及纸板进口的指标进行了计量分析,并在此基础上得出了促进我国造纸产业健康发展及积极、可持续地参与国际贸易的对策和启示。Since 1997,China has become a gigantic power in terms of production and consumption of paper and pa- per board products.Overtaking the US in paper and paper board production for the first time in 2009, China emerged as the world＇s biggest producer.Meanwhile, compared with production there also exists a relatively small amount of import and export of paper and paper board products.In this study a multiple linear regression model is established to analyse the possible influencing factors of Chinese paper and paper board imports from the perspec- fives of supply,demand and raw materials,after which corresponding countermeasures and enlightenment are put for- ward to promote healthier development of paper and paper board industry and its paficipation in international trade.

关 键 词：纸及纸板 进口贸易 产量 出口贸易 影响因素 

分 类 号：F426.83[经济管理—产业经济] F752.6