绿色住宅开发风险的结构方程模型分析  

Application of Structural Equation Modeling in the Analysis of Green House Development Risk

作　　者：蔡久顺 张执国[1] 师鹏[1] 何泉[2] 

机构地区：[1]空军工程大学装备管理与安全工程学院,陕西西安710051 [2]西安建筑科技大学建筑学院,陕西西安710055

出　　处：《工程管理学报》2015年第3期131-135,共5页Journal of Engineering Management

基　　金："十二五"国家科技支撑计划(2013BAJ03B04-1)

摘　　要：针对绿色住宅开发风险因素众多,影响关系复杂的特点,识别出影响绿色住宅开发的16项风险因素和3个开发目标,在问卷调查的基础上,运用结构方程模型确立风险因素对开发目标的作用路径和效应。研究结果表明:政治风险对开发目标的作用效应最大,作用路径最多;政策不完善、政府监督和增量成本是对绿色住宅开发目标影响最大的3项风险因素,并根据模型结果提出降低绿色住宅开发风险的建议,为政府政策制定和房地产企业开发提供参考。Aiming at the characteristics of many risk factors for the green housing development and its complex relationship,16 factors for the development of green house and 3 development goals were identified. On the basis of a questionnaire survey, structural equation modeling method was used to identify the influence paths and effects of risk factors for development goals. The results show that “political risks” has the biggest influence effects and the most influence paths for “development goals”,the factor of “policy imperfect” “government supervision” and “incremental cost” are top three risk factors affecting green house development goals. Finally,according to the results of the model,suggestions of reducing the risk of green house development risk were put forward to provide a reference to the decisions of governments and real estate companies.

关 键 词：绿色住宅 开发风险 问卷调查 结构方程模型 

分 类 号：F293.3[经济管理—国民经济]