中国体育彩票事业发展的空间自相关特征研究  

Spatial Autocorrelation Characteristics of China's Sports Lottery Development

作　　者：陈颇[1] 方春妮[2] 

机构地区：[1]重庆师范大学体育学院,重庆401331 [2]湖北大学体育学院,湖北武汉430062

出　　处：《武汉体育学院学报》2015年第7期24-29,57,共7页Journal of Wuhan Sports University

基　　金：国家社会科学基金项目(13XTY006);湖北休闲体育发展研究中心开放基金课题(2013Z002)

摘　　要：选取2008—2013年全国31个省市(自治区)的体育彩票销售额作为分析样本,运用全局空间自相关和局部空间自相关分析方法,对我国区域体育彩票事业发展的空间自相关特征进行实证研究。结果表明:1各地区体育彩票事业发展的空间依赖程度逐渐增强,区域体育彩票事业发展整体上存在正的空间自相关关系,地域间体育彩票事业发展的空间集聚现象比较明显;2近6年来我国体育彩票事业的发展水平已大幅提升,全国三大经济区域体育彩票事业发展的空间自相关作用日益增强,彼此的空间依赖关系更加明晰,向各自邻接地带渐进收敛的趋势越发显著,但国内中、东部地区体育彩票事业发展的空间自相关关系的演变程度明显大于西部地区;3目前中国绝大部分省市(自治区)体育彩票事业发展与周边邻接地域的空间集聚关系仍未达到显著性水平,区域体育彩票事业发展的两极分化问题仍然比较严重,即地区间体育彩票事业发展的空间联动效应还有待于进一步提高。The sports lottery sales of 31 provinces and autonomous regions in China from 2008 to 2013were analyzed through the global spatial autocorrelation and local spatial autocorrelation analysis.The results showed that：1spatial dependence of regional sports lottery development gradually increased.The regional sports lottery witnessed a positive spatial autocorrelation relationship.The spatial agglomeration of regional sports lottery development was obvious.2 The development level of sports lottery increased dramatically in the past six years.The spatial autocorrelation of sports lottery of the three major economic regions was growing.Each spatial dependence was more clear.The trend of progressive convergence zone adjacent to each other was significant.The spatial autocorrelation of the eastern sports lottery was greater than that of the western region.3 At present,the spatial agglomeration relationship of most Chinese provinces and autonomous regions and of the surrounding area had not reached a significant level.The regional polarization of sports lottery development was great,and the spatial linkage effect of regional sports lottery development needed to be further improved.

关 键 词：体育彩票 空间自相关 空间集聚 空间联动效应 特征 

分 类 号：G80[文化科学—运动人体科学]