2014年全球天然气发展述评  

Review of World Natural Gas in 2014

作　　者：王蓓[1] 舒红 魏微 胡奥林[1] 

机构地区：[1]中国石油西南油气田公司天然气经济研究所,四川成都610051 [2]中国石油西南油气田公司资本运营部,四川成都610051 [3]中国石油西南油气田公司工程技术研究院,四川广汉618300

出　　处：《天然气技术与经济》2015年第3期1-5,77,共5页Natural Gas Technology and Economy

摘　　要：回顾和评论了2014年全球天然气工业和天然气市场发展动向。2014年,世界经济发展依旧缓慢,增长步幅低于预期,原油价格突然跳水给予石油工业沉重打击,天然气产业亦难独善其身:年新增探明储量和增幅双双创下10余年最低;依赖美国页岩气产量强势增长的贡献,世界天然气商品产量勉强维持低位增长;国际天然气贸易未能延续上年反弹走势,大幅回落;在经济低迷、低价煤炭竞争和温和冬季的多重打压下,主要发达经济体天然气消费疲软,新兴经济体国家后劲不足,惟有美国依旧保持上升强势;现货气价引领国际天然气价格振荡下行。The paper gives a review of and evaluation on the trend of the global gas industry and market in 2014, in which, the world's economy remained in a low growth, less than the expected.In late 2014, the sharp jump of the crude oil price imposed an overwhelming strike on the oil industry. This would inevitably impact on the gas industry:(1)the newly increased proven reserve and growth rate both reached a record low over the past ten years;(2)world's gas products could barely be kept at a low growth due to the only contribution of US'shale gas yield growth;(3)global gas trade failed to keep the rebounding momentum as the previous year, but saw a sharp decline;(4)facing the multiple pressures of weak economy, competition of low-price coal and a mild winter, major developed economies were seeing weak gas consumption and new emerging economies was running out of steam except the US which was still in an upward tendency;(5)spot gas price played a leading role in the downward fluctuation of the world's gas price.

关 键 词：天然气 全世界 天然气供需 天然气贸易 天然气价格 

分 类 号：F416.22[经济管理—产业经济]