FDI、出口贸易与农村劳动力非农就业  

FDI Inflows,Export and Rural Labor Employment in Non-agricultural Sectors

作　　者：王云凤[1] 郑雁升 

机构地区：[1]吉林财经大学国际经济贸易学院,吉林长春130117

出　　处：《税务与经济》2015年第4期20-26,共7页Taxation and Economy

基　　金：国际贸易重点学科2013中央财政专项资助项目

摘　　要：通过建立包含我国FDI开放度、出口贸易相对规模、农村劳动力非农就业比例三个变量的模型,运用时间序列分析考察三者之间的格兰杰因果关系效应,用以解释FDI流入和出口贸易对中国农村劳动力非农就业的实际影响及影响程度。分析表明,对外商直接投资的开放度提高在短期内对我国非农就业增长率的影响为负,但长期效应为正;出口贸易规模增长在短期内对我国农村劳动力的非农就业的影响为正,但长期效益为负;此外,农村劳动力非农就业的增长对我国出口发展的长期效应为负。This paper established a model with three variables including the openness of FDI in China, relative scale of export trade and the proportion of rural labor force employment in non-agricultural sectors. Through time series analysis, this paper examines the Grainger causal relation between the three variables. This paper explains the actual effect of FDI inflows and export on rural labor force employment in non-agricultural sectors in China and the influence degree of the problem. Analysis shows that, the increased FDI openness affects the growth rate of the rural labor force employment in non-agricultural sectors China, and the short-term impact is negative; long-term effect is positive. The short-term impact of the growth of China＇s export of our country on rural labor force employment in non-agricultural sectors is positive, its long-term effect is negative. In addition, from the long-term relations, the influence of the growth of rural labor force employment in non-agricultural sectors on the development of China＇ s export is negative.

关 键 词：FDI 农村劳动力非农就业 对外贸易规模 

分 类 号：F240[经济管理—劳动经济]