基于面板数据模型的天津市高耗能行业用电需求特征分析  

Electric Consumption Analysis of Energy-intensive Industries in Tianjin Based on Panel Data Model

作　　者：赵会茹[1] 宗剑韬 李娜娜[1] 李付强[2] 胡娱欧 

机构地区：[1]华北电力大学,北京102206 [2]国家电网华北电网有限公司,北京100053

出　　处：《陕西电力》2015年第6期51-54,共4页Shanxi Electric Power

基　　金：国家自然科学基金资助项目(71373076);国家电网公司科技项目(SG HB0000DKJS1400116);中央高校基本科研业务费专项资金资助(2015XS31)

摘　　要：天津市高耗能行业内部各行业的用电特征存在差异性,对其特点进行分析能够促进高耗能行业的节能减排。应用面板数据和协整理论,对天津市8大高耗能行业的用电需求特征进行了比较分析。建立了天津市高耗能行业用电与其产值和用电单耗的面板数据模型,在此基础上分别得到对行业产值和用电单耗依赖性较高的行业,从而为天津高耗能产业发展政策的制定提供借鉴。Since the difference of electric consumption among energy intensive industries, the analysis on the features of electric consumption can promote the performance of energy saving and emission reduction. This paper investigates the general characters of electricity consumption among energy-intensive industries in Tianjin based on the cointegraiion theory and panel data model. A long- term equilibrium model containing of the electricity demand, industry output and the electric power consumption per unit output value is established. Finally, the industry that electricity consuming is highly dependent on its output and power consuming intensity is found out, which will contribute to policy making for energy intensive industries in the future.

关 键 词：高耗能行业 用电需求 面板数据 

分 类 号：TM-9[电气工程] F426[经济管理—产业经济]