中国工业绿色转型的减排效应及污染治理投入的影响  

The Abatement Effect of China's Industrial Green Transformation and the Impact of Pollution Control Investment

作　　者：王勇[1] 刘厚莲[1] 

机构地区：[1]南开大学经济学院

出　　处：《经济评论》2015年第4期17-30,44,共15页Economic Review

摘　　要：减少污染排放是中国工业绿色转型的关键和基本目的,本文分别从工业结构和行业内两个层面考察中国工业绿色转型的基本态势。应用Sun(1998)的完全分解方法,将工业废气和废水的排放分解为规模效应、强度效应和结构效应,结果表明:行业内的绿色转型是减少污染排放的主要推动力量,而工业结构转型的贡献较小,但是工业结构绿色转型对于减少废气排放的作用相对更加明显。本文进一步通过构建面板VAR模型,检验了工业污染源治理投资、清洁生产投资以及"三同时"投资三种模式对中国工业绿色转型的冲击作用,发现清洁生产投资和"三同时"投资更有助于行业内的绿色转型,而三种污染治理模式对工业结构转型的推动作用主要体现在中度污染行业产值份额的变动上,重污染行业尤其是工业废气排放的治理投入需要进一步加强。Reducing pollution discharge is the key and basic purpose of China＇ s industrial green transformation. The intrasectoral and intersectoral change of China＇ s industrial green transformation are investigated in this paper. Using the complete decomposition method of Sun （ 1998 ）, emission of industrial waste gas and water are decomposed into scale effect, intensity effect and structure effect. The results show that intraseetoral green change is the main driving force in reducing pollution discharge and the contribution of interseetoral change is smaller, but its effects on cutting down waste air are more obvious. Furthermore, through building a panel VAR model, the paper tests the impacts of industrial pollution treatment, clean production fees and pollution abatement through ＂3S＂ projects on China＇ s industrial green transformation. The paper finds that clean production investment and ＂3S＂ projects are more helpful in driving intrasectoral change. However, the driving effects of three kinds of pollution control methods on interseetoral change are mainly reflected on the change of output value of medium pollution industry. And pollution control investment on high pollution industry, especially for industrial waste gas emission needs to be further strengthened.

关 键 词：工业绿色转型 减排 污染治理 面板VAR 

分 类 号：F424.1[经济管理—产业经济]