电力消费弹性系数与产业结构关系研究——以安徽省为例  

A Study on the Relationship between the Elastic Coefficient of Power Consumption and Industrial Structure in Anhui Province

作　　者：葛斐 石雪梅 荣秀婷 李周 

机构地区：[1]安徽省电力经济技术研究院

出　　处：《四川大学学报（哲学社会科学版）》2015年第3期79-85,共7页Journal of Sichuan University：Philosophy and Social Science Edition

摘　　要：对局部区域电力消费弹性系数与产业结构进行定性分析,发现电力消费弹性系数与产业结构之间具有较强的关联性,第二、第三产业增加值比重提高会导致定基电力消费弹性系数上升,且对第三产业的影响幅度较大。由此构建定基电力消费弹性系数与产业结构定量模型,通过该模型对区域全社会用电量进行预测,结果显示该模型预测误差较小,可用性较高。因此,在合理发展第二产业的同时,需重视第三产业内部结构的优化。This paper qualitatively analyzes the elastic coefficient of power consumption and the industrial structure, and finds a strong correlation between them. The paper uses a new elastic coefficient of power consumption based on the price in 1990 for further exploration, and concludes that the proportional increase of the second and third industries will raise elastic coefficient of power consumption, which in turn has an obvious impact on the third industry. This model is used to forecast regional power consumption, with the results turning out to be fairly accurate, which proves it to be applicable. Therefore, it is important to optimize the internal structure of the third industry while developing the second industry.

关 键 词：电力 定基消费弹性系数 产业结构调整 

分 类 号：F206[经济管理—国民经济] F407.61