农民参与抗旱救援队意愿影响因素的实证分析——基于南方稻区755份调查数据  

Empirical analysis on factors of farmers' willingness to participate in drought relief team: Based on 755 survey data from Southern China

作　　者：江慧珍 朱红根[1] 

机构地区：[1]江西农业大学经济管理学院,江西南昌330045

出　　处：《湖南农业大学学报（社会科学版）》2015年第3期59-64,共6页Journal of Hunan Agricultural University(Social Sciences)

基　　金：国家社科基金重大项目(13&ZD160);国家自然科学基金项目(41361007)

摘　　要：基于南方稻区江西省755份调查数据,运用二元Probit模型实证分析了影响农民参与抗旱救援队意愿的因素。结果表明,性别、文化程度、家庭人口数量、常与亲戚往来、村庄水利状况、政府抗旱措施的满意度具有显著的正向影响,农业收入比重负向影响显著。在其他条件不变的情况下,文化程度每提高一个层次、家庭人数每增加一人、所在村庄水利状况每提升一个层次、对政府抗旱措施满意度每提高一个单位,农民参与意愿分别提高2.7%、2.4%、4.8%、9.2%;农业收入比重每增加一个层次,农民参与意愿减少5.7%。常与亲戚往来和政府抗旱措施满意度的边际效应最大,表明社会资本和政策环境是最重要的影响因素。农民年龄、婚姻状况、离最近水泥路距离、耕地面积影响不显著。Based on 755 survey data in Jiangxi Province, using binary Probit model, this paper empirically analyzes the factors of farmers＇ willingness to participate in drought relief team. The result shows that gender, education level, family population, regular contacts with relatives, village water conservancy conditions, the degree of satisfaction with government drought relief measures have a significant positive effect on farmers＇ willingness to participate in drought relief team, the proportion of agricultural income have significant negative effect. With the other conditions unchanged, farmers＇ willingness increased by 2.7%,2.4%,4.8% and 9.2% respectively when education level, family population, village water conservancy conditions promotion and the degree of satisfaction with government drought relief measures improve one unit, farmers＇ willingness decreased by 5.7% when the proportion of agricultural income add a level. The marginal effect of regular contacts with relatives and the satisfaction degree of government drought relief measures are the largest, it shows that social capital and policy environment are the most important influencing factors. Farmers＇ age, marital status, distance from the nearest cement road and arable land have no significant effect.

关 键 词：抗旱救援 农民参与 影响因素 二元Probit模型 

分 类 号：C912.82[经济管理]