“三高”油气井早期溢流在线监测与预警系统  

Online monitoring and warning system for early kick foreboding on 'three high' wells

作　　者：戴永寿 岳炜杰 孙伟峰 李立刚 张亚南 程佳成 

机构地区：[1]中国石油大学信息与控制工程学院,山东青岛266580 [2]中国航空油料有限责任公司北京分公司,北京100088 [3]青岛鼎信通讯股份有限公司,山东青岛266073 [4]中国石油北京销售公司,北京100107

出　　处：《中国石油大学学报（自然科学版）》2015年第3期188-194,共7页Journal of China University of Petroleum(Edition of Natural Science)

基　　金：国家自然科学基金项目(40974072);中石油'十二五'科技攻关项目(2014D-4601)

摘　　要：为解决钻井过程中传统溢流监测实时性和可靠性差的问题,设计开发出一套'三高'油气井早期溢流在线监测与预警系统。该系统针对常规单一参数、单一手段溢流监测实时性低、可靠性差的问题,综合应用微流量、随钻压力(pressure while drilling,PWD)以及综合录井3类参数,通过多参数、多手段相互印证的方式提高溢流监测的实时性与可靠性。提出基于专家系统和改进的贝叶斯判别相融合的溢流等钻井事故判别方法:当缺少训练数据时,应用专家系统判别溢流等钻井事故;当训练数据充足时,应用专家系统和改进的贝叶斯判别相结合识别溢流等钻井事故。改进的贝叶斯判别模型对于因属性变量间不独立而引起的误判具有一定的抑制作用,能够提高判别准确度,且训练简单,应用灵活。通过两种算法的有机结合,优势互补,可以提高井控安全的智能化水平与现场适用性。测试实验结果表明,该系统能够实时、有效地监测溢流等钻井事故。In order to solve the problem about the poor instantaneity and reliability of early kick detection during drilling process by traditional methods,a realtime monitoring and warning system for kick foreboding on ＂ three high＂ wells was designed and developed. Regarding the above defects of kick detection by conventional means in which only one parameter or one mode was used,the method makes use of three parameters which include micro-flux,pressure while drilling（ PWD） and comprehensive logging parameters,and applies the multi-parameter and multi-means to cross-verify and improve the instantaneity and reliability of kick detection. An identification method based on expert system in combination with the improved Bayes discriminant was proposed. If lacking of training data,the method applies expert system to identify kick and other accidents; otherwise it applies expert system combining with the improved Bayes discriminant to identify kick and other accidents. The improved Bayes discriminant model can reduce the misjudgment caused by the attribute variables which are not independent completely,and thus improve the identification accuracy. The application is more flexible,and the training is easier. The combination of the two kinds of intelligent algorithms,whose advantages are complementary can improve significantly the intelligent level and applicability. The verification tests show that the system can detect kick and other accidents instantaneously and effectively.

关 键 词：井喷 溢流监测 专家系统 改进的贝叶斯判别 “三高”油气井 

分 类 号：TE28[石油与天然气工程—油气井工程]