中国式产业政策的实施效果:产业升级还是短期经济增长  

The Effect of Industrial Policy in China:Industrial Upgrade or Short-term Economic Growth

作　　者：孙早[1] 席建成[1] 

机构地区：[1]西安交通大学经济与金融学院,陕西西安710061

出　　处：《中国工业经济》2015年第7期52-67,共16页China Industrial Economics

基　　金：国家社会科学基金项目"以企业为主体的战略性新兴产业自主创新机制研究"(批准号11BJY006);教育部新世纪优秀人才支持计划"公司成长与现代产业的演进"(批准号NCET-11-0429)

摘　　要：尽管实施效果差异显著,但在大多数发展中国家与工业化国家的产业发展史上,产业政策都曾得到广泛运用。本文从发展中国家"实施产业政策具有现实合理性"的前提出发,以"中央与地方"和"地方与企业"两组重要关系为背景,通过一个"多任务委托—代理模型"证明:中国式产业政策的实施效果不仅取决于中央政府赋予地方政府的双重任务目标,同时还受制于不同地区的经济发展水平和市场化进程。本文利用中国钢铁工业的相关数据所做经验研究进一步发现:①中央政府考核目标从"偏增长"向"重转型"的变化很大程度上影响着地方政府在落实产业政策和追求短期经济增长之间配置努力的水平:②在欠发达地区,因为地方政府有更强激励追求短期经济增长,产业政策的实施效果偏离预期目标的可能性更大;③市场化水平的提高有助于增强地方政府落实产业政策的激励,降低政策资源错配的程度,进而优化产业政策的实施效果。In most developing and developed countries, industrial policy has played a key role in the industrialization for the economy, but has a significant different effect. With the developing countries＂implementation of industry policies have rationality＂ premise, located on the background of the two groups relations between the central government and the local government, the local government and the enterprise, this paper uses a multitask principal-agent model to prove that： the effect of industrial policy in china depends not only on the dual objectives from central government, but also subject to different regional development level and the marketization process. In this paper, empirical research shows that： ①The objective of the central government changed from development to transition has an important influence on the configuration of efforts level between the implementation of industrial policy and the pursuit of short-term economic growth from the local government; ②In less developed district, local governments have more incentive to pursue short-term growth, industrial policy implementation effect is more likely to deviate from the target; ③Higher marketization level can help to promote industrial upgrading for the local government, reduce the miseonfiguration on the industrial policy, and to optimize the implementation effect of industrial policy.

关 键 词：产业政策 发展水平 市场化 

分 类 号：F420[经济管理—产业经济]