退耕还林工程交替期的政策趋势及需求——2014退耕还林社会经济效益监测主要结果分析  

Policy Trends and Demand during the Alternating Phase of Conversion of Cropland to Forests Program——The Main Results of 2014 Social Economic M&E of Conversion of Cropland to Forests Program

作　　者：谢晨[1] 张坤[1] 彭伟[1] 王佳男[1] 刘建杰[2] 姜喜麟[2] 李保玉[3] 

机构地区：[1]国家林业局经济发展研究中心,北京100714 [2]国家林业局发展规划与资金管理司,北京100714 [3]国家林业局退耕还林办公室,100714

出　　处：《林业经济》2015年第6期16-22,共7页Forestry Economics

摘　　要：2014年退耕还林社会经济效益监测结果显示:在新一轮退耕还林还草工程启动前,超过80%的原退耕面积已进入延长期;在城镇化和农业直补政策的推动下,退耕区土地利用产生剧烈变化,复耕现象略有扩大,退耕地经营比较利益已显著低于耕地,退耕户平均损失约6000元。必须千方百计巩固退耕还林成果,杜绝生态林复耕。现有退耕区域仍有一定的退耕潜力,可退耕地约占当前耕地的10%左右;新一轮退耕应避开粮食主产区和人地资源紧张地区。在新一轮退耕还林启动之际,应从国家长期生态战略需求和农户变化了的土地收益期望出发,发挥好政府和市场两方面的作用,加快建立新退耕还林长效机制。The results of 2014 social economic M＆E of Conversion of Cropland to Forests Program （CCFP） show that before the new round of CCFP, many signal indicate a trend of policy change. 80% of CCFP area already entered into Phase II and farmers who ended CCFP subsidy has reached to 10%; there has been dramatic change of land use change in the CCFP area with enlarging cropland; the revenue of CCFP has significantly lower than crop- land which cause RMB 6000 opportunity costs in average to CCFP farmers; the pressure to reconvert CCFP forests to crop production is increasing and it has already occurred in few places especially on economic trees; there are still 10% of cropland could be used to new round of CCFP; the ecological priority of CCFP should be insisted even fac- ing pressure and reconvert ecological tree to crop production should be forbidden; It is desirable to establish long term CCFP mechanism to solid CCFP forests with consideration of changed CCFP farmers＇ expectation and Chi- na＇ s long term ecological restoration targets by balancing both governance and market approach.

关 键 词：退耕还林 政策预警趋势 土地利用冲突 效益监测 

分 类 号：F326.24[经济管理—产业经济]