我国夏季暴雨气候学的研究进展与科学问题  

Recent Progress and Prospective Scientific Problems Concerning Climatological Research on Summer Heavy Rainfall in China

作　　者：陈栋[1,2] 黄荣辉[1] 陈际龙[1] 

机构地区：[1]中国科学院大气物理研究所季风系统研究中心,北京100190 [2]中国科学院大学地球科学学院,北京100049

出　　处：《气候与环境研究》2015年第4期477-490,共14页Climatic and Environmental Research

基　　金：国家重点基础研究发展规划项目2013CB430201;国家自然科学基金项目41375065;41375082;41230527;海峡两岸合作基金项目414611664005

摘　　要：我国夏季暴雨频发并导致洪涝灾害,严重影响着社会和经济的发展。基于对我国夏季降水和暴雨天气学的大量研究,从气候学的角度综述了我国夏季暴雨的研究进展,特别是关于我国暴雨的年际和年代际变化及趋势、与暴雨发生相关联的大尺度环流特征及年际和年代际变化成因以及全球气候变暖背景下今后我国夏季暴雨的演变趋势等方面的主要研究进展。此外,还指出了我国夏季暴雨气候学亟待进一步研究的若干科学问题。Frequent heavy rainfall（HR） can cause flood disasters in summer, which seriously affect the development of society and the economy in China. Based on a large number of studies on summer precipitation and synoptic characteristics of summer HR in China, the main advancements in summer HR research, from the climatological standpoint, are summarized. In particular, progress in studying certain aspects such as HR-related interannual and interdecadal variations and changing trends, the characteristics of associated large-scale circulations and their causes, and the evolutionary tendency under global warming, are reviewed. In addition, this paper also highlights some scientific problems relating to the climatology of summer HR over China that require further research.

关 键 词：夏季暴雨 极端降水 趋势 气候学 进展 

分 类 号：P466[天文地球—大气科学及气象学]